ranjeet_singh
2 months ago·68 views
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Why did Honeywell Aerospace (HONA) crash ~21% in its first quarter as a public company?

Honeywell Aerospace HONA decoded

Honeywell Aerospace (NASDAQ: HONA) cratered ~21% in early trading on Thursday after its first earnings report as a standalone company — its debut since splitting from Honeywell (HON) in late June — landed as a miss-and-cut, the one combination aerospace investors punish hardest.

The numbers: pro-forma adjusted EPS came in at $1.87, versus the ~$2.13 the street expected, and down 32% from a year ago. Revenue rose 5% to $4.52 billion — fine on its own — but management then cut full-year guidance: organic sales growth now 4–5%, down from 7–9%, and full-year adjusted EPS of $7.60–$7.90, well under the ~$8.86 analysts had penciled in. GAAP EPS was just $0.78 (down 71%), dinged by roughly $100M of separation and inventory-obsolescence charges in a messy first quarter on its own.

Here is the twist that matters: demand is not the problem. Backlog actually grew 9% — faster than sales. The culprit is parts shortages — Honeywell can not get enough mechanical components to build and ship engines, auxiliary power units and avionics fast enough to meet what airlines and defense customers are ordering. CEO Jim Currier called end-market demand "significant" but blamed "supply constraints" for capping growth.

The read-through

This is not just a HONA story. The same mechanical-parts bottleneck is squeezing the whole aero supply chain — GE Aerospace (GE) and RTX (RTX) have flagged the identical constraint. And because Honeywell is a Tier-1 supplier of avionics and power systems into Boeing (BA) and Airbus, its inability to ship parts on time feeds straight into their own delivery delays. The high-margin aftermarket revenue — spares and repairs — that HONA is deferring does not vanish; it slips to later quarters.

The risk that keeps it pinned: as Wolfe Research put it, "aerospace stocks work on the back of beats and raises, not misses and cuts." The concrete trigger to watch is the Q3 report — its next scorecard — for the first sign the parts crunch is easing and that 9% backlog is finally converting into deliveries. Until that shows up, risk skews negative.

As of ~7:30 PM IST, Sun 9 Aug 2026 (HONA reported Wed 6 Aug ET). Sources: Motley Fool, Investing.com / Yahoo Finance. For discussion and education only — not investment advice. Verify before acting.

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Investing involves significant risks. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Readers should consult their own financial advisor and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

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