ranjeet_singh
2 months ago·19 views
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Why did Zaggle jump ~18% today? Vijay Kedia bought the dip

Zaggle Kedia dip-buy decoded

A stock that got hammered on Monday roared back today, and the reason isn't a new order or a results beat. It's one famous investor's name showing up in the exchange's bulk-deal data. Here's the full picture, because the bounce and the business are telling two different stories.

What happened

Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services jumped as much as 18% to an intraday high of ₹195.70 on the NSE, against Tuesday's close of ₹165.85, as reported by Business Today. Business Standard clocked the move at roughly 17% to ₹194.70 on very heavy volume — about 10.6 million shares changed hands in the first 12 minutes of trade. This is a sharp snap-back: only two sessions earlier the stock had crashed 20% to a 52-week low of ₹160.45.

Why it moved

The trigger is a single disclosure. Ace investor Vijay Kedia, through his firm Kedia Securities, bought 2 million shares (about a 1.48% stake) at an average price of ₹164.72, a deal worth ₹32.94 crore, via open-market bulk deals on the NSE on Tuesday, August 18. When a marquee investor is seen "buying the dip" the day after a crash, retail traders pile in behind the name — and that's what drove today's move. By early trade Kedia was already sitting on a notional gain of about ₹6.19 crore on that purchase.

Worth being precise here: this is a sentiment catalyst, not a change in the fundamentals. Another well-known investor, Ashish Kacholia, already held about 2.16% of Zaggle as of the June quarter, so the stock was already on smart-money radars before today.

The business

Zaggle isn't a pure-play anything — it sits in the business-to-business-to-consumer corner of fintech. It's one of India's largest issuers of prepaid cards through partner banks and a big player in commercial credit-card spends, wrapped around a stack of SaaS products:

  • Save — expense management and employee spend
  • Propel — channel and employee rewards/incentives
  • Zoyer — data-driven business spend management with embedded finance
  • Plus tax and payroll software, serving 3,400+ corporates and around 3 million users

It earns a mix of transaction fees on card spends and recurring SaaS subscription revenue.

Why it crashed first

To understand the bounce you need the fall. On Monday Zaggle reported a soft Q1 FY27: net profit dropped 32.9% year-on-year to ₹17.53 crore (from ₹26.11 crore), even though revenue rose 27.5% to ₹423.26 crore. The squeeze was in margins — EBITDA margin narrowed to about 8.2% from 10.1% a year earlier (Business Standard), which the company blamed on one-time costs from its Dice acquisition (transaction fees, vendor payouts, relocating 100+ staff). Zaggle says Dice's contract revenue wasn't booked in Q1 and only starts flowing from Q2 FY27. On the same day it disclosed that its appeal against an income-tax demand for AY2022-23 was dismissed, adding to the gloom.

Is it expensive?

After the crash and today's bounce, Zaggle's market cap sits around ₹2,475 crore with a trailing P/E near 19–20x (Screener.in / MarketsMojo) and a P/B of roughly 2x. In absolute terms that's not demanding for a company still growing revenue ~27%. Against listed tech peers it looks reasonable, not cheap: Tata Technologies trades near 52x and Netweb Technologies above 120x, while an old-line mid-cap IT name like Zensar Technologies is cheaper at about 14x. So Zaggle's multiple prices in continued growth but hasn't priced in a full margin recovery — which is exactly the debate here.

Who it touches

  • Retail traders who track marquee investors — the whole move is a "follow the smart money" trade; these bounces can fade as fast as they came.
  • Corporate-spend and prepaid-card peers — Zaggle's read-through is on B2B card spends and expense-SaaS demand, not the broader consumer-payments names.
  • Existing large holders like Kacholia, whose stakes just got re-rated on sentiment.

What to watch

The one thing that flips this: Q2 FY27 numbers. Today's pop is investor sentiment, but the fundamentals still show compressed margins and an unresolved tax demand. If Dice revenue actually shows up next quarter and margins climb back toward double digits, the dip-buy looks smart. If it doesn't, a sentiment-led bounce with no earnings support tends to give back its gains.

As of ~12:15 PM IST, Aug 19, 2026. Sources: Business Standard, Business Today. For discussion and education only — not investment advice. Verify before acting.

This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice, investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Investing involves significant risks. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Readers should consult their own financial advisor and conduct their own research before making any investment decisions.

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